A low pressure area may form over the North Bay of Bengal and monsoon will be moderate to strong over the Andaman Sea and Bay of Bengal, according to second ten-day weather forecast made by the Department of Meteorology and Hydrology (DMH).
“According to the observations, the possibility of the low pressure area is about 20 or 30 per cent but it may form in this month. Some low pressure areas and depressions formed in August bring rainclouds but some took them away. We roughly said low pressure areas formed in Bay of Bengal can bring rain,” said Director General Dr Kyaw Moe Oo from the DMH.
Rains are likely to be expected above normal in upper Sagaing and Taninthayi regions and Northern and Eastern Shan and Mon states, about normal in lower Sagaing, Mandalay, Magway, Bago, Yangon and Ayeyawady regions, Kachin, Southren Shan, Chin, Rakhine, Kayah and Kayin states. Rainy days are expected about 7 to 9 days in upper Sagaing, Bago, Yangon, Ayeyawady and Taninthayi regions, Kachin, Shan, Rakhine, Kayin and Mon states and about 4 to 6 days in lower Sagaing, Mandalay and Magway regions, Chin and Kayah states.
According to second ten-day water level forecast of August, the water levels of Ayeyawady River are forecast to rise about 4-5 feet at Myitkyina, Bhamo, Shwegu, Katha, Thebeikkyin and about 1-3 feet at Mandalay, Sagaing, Myinmu, Pakokku, Nyaung Oo, Chauk, Minbu, Magway, Aunglan, Pyay, Seiktha, Hinthada and Zalun during the second 10 days of August, 2018. The water levels of Chindwin River are forecast to rise about 4-6 feet at Hkamti, Homalin and Phaungpyin, and about 1-3 feet at Mawlaik, Kalewa, Minkin, Kani and Monywa.
A low pressure area in Bay of Bengal intensified into a depression on August 6 and entered India.